17 Education Technology Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.88

YQ Stock  USD 1.63  0.03  1.81%   
17 Education's future price is the expected price of 17 Education instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 17 Education Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 17 Education Backtesting, 17 Education Valuation, 17 Education Correlation, 17 Education Hype Analysis, 17 Education Volatility, 17 Education History as well as 17 Education Performance.
  
As of 12/19/2024, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.75. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -0.45. Please specify 17 Education's target price for which you would like 17 Education odds to be computed.

17 Education Target Price Odds to finish below 1.88

The tendency of 17 Education Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.88  after 90 days
 1.63 90 days 1.88 
about 25.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 17 Education to stay under $ 1.88  after 90 days from now is about 25.17 (This 17 Education Technology probability density function shows the probability of 17 Education Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 17 Education Technology price to stay between its current price of $ 1.63  and $ 1.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.7 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon 17 Education has a beta of 0.5. This entails as returns on the market go up, 17 Education average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 17 Education Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 17 Education Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   17 Education Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 17 Education

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 17 Education Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.606.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.586.52
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.461.601.78
Details

17 Education Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 17 Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 17 Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 17 Education Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 17 Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

17 Education Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 17 Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 17 Education Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
17 Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
17 Education may become a speculative penny stock
17 Education has high historical volatility and very poor performance
17 Education has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 170.96 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (311.78 M) with gross profit of 324.86 M.
17 Education Technology reports about 893.77 M in cash with (212.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.55, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
17 Education has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from simplywall.st: 17 Education Technology Group Third Quarter 2024 Earnings CN2.24 loss per share

17 Education Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 17 Education Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 17 Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 17 Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments480.6 M
Shares Float113.1 M

17 Education Technical Analysis

17 Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 17 Education Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 17 Education Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing 17 Education Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

17 Education Predictive Forecast Models

17 Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many 17 Education's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 17 Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 17 Education Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about 17 Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 17 Education Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
17 Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
17 Education may become a speculative penny stock
17 Education has high historical volatility and very poor performance
17 Education has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 170.96 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (311.78 M) with gross profit of 324.86 M.
17 Education Technology reports about 893.77 M in cash with (212.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.55, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
17 Education has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from simplywall.st: 17 Education Technology Group Third Quarter 2024 Earnings CN2.24 loss per share

Additional Tools for 17 Education Stock Analysis

When running 17 Education's price analysis, check to measure 17 Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 17 Education is operating at the current time. Most of 17 Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 17 Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 17 Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 17 Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.