Yerbae Brands Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.71
| YERB-U Stock | 0.12 0.02 20.00% |
Yerbae |
Yerbae Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 10.71
The tendency of Yerbae Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.71 or more in 90 days |
| 0.12 | 90 days | 10.71 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yerbae Brands to move over 10.71 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Yerbae Brands Corp probability density function shows the probability of Yerbae Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yerbae Brands Corp price to stay between its current price of 0.12 and 10.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yerbae Brands Corp has a beta of -0.12. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yerbae Brands are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yerbae Brands Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yerbae Brands Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Yerbae Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yerbae Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yerbae Brands Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yerbae Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yerbae Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yerbae Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yerbae Brands Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yerbae Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0066 |
Yerbae Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yerbae Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yerbae Brands Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yerbae Brands Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Yerbae Brands Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Yerbae Brands Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.21 M. | |
| Yerbae Brands generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Yerbae Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yerbae Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yerbae Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yerbae Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.8 M |
Yerbae Brands Technical Analysis
Yerbae Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yerbae Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yerbae Brands Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yerbae Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yerbae Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Yerbae Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Yerbae Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yerbae Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yerbae Brands Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yerbae Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yerbae Brands Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yerbae Brands Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Yerbae Brands Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Yerbae Brands Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.21 M. | |
| Yerbae Brands generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Yerbae Stock
Yerbae Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yerbae Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yerbae with respect to the benefits of owning Yerbae Brands security.