Sino AG (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.6

XTP Stock  EUR 63.50  1.50  2.31%   
Sino AG's future price is the expected price of Sino AG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sino AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sino AG Backtesting, Sino AG Valuation, Sino AG Correlation, Sino AG Hype Analysis, Sino AG Volatility, Sino AG History as well as Sino AG Performance.
  
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Sino AG Target Price Odds to finish below 44.6

The tendency of Sino Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 44.60  or more in 90 days
 63.50 90 days 44.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sino AG to drop to € 44.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sino AG probability density function shows the probability of Sino Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sino AG price to stay between € 44.60  and its current price of €63.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sino AG has a beta of 0.19. This entails as returns on the market go up, Sino AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sino AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sino AG has an alpha of 0.2085, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sino AG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sino AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sino AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.2463.5065.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.7751.0369.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.4665.7267.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.9057.8866.85
Details

Sino AG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sino AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sino AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sino AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sino AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Sino AG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sino Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sino AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sino AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.92
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day183
Average Daily Volume In Three Month388
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.09%

Sino AG Technical Analysis

Sino AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sino Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sino AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sino Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sino AG Predictive Forecast Models

Sino AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sino AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sino AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sino AG in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sino AG's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sino AG options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Sino Stock

Sino AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sino Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sino with respect to the benefits of owning Sino AG security.