Xponential Fitness Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.13
| XPOF Stock | USD 15.13 1.08 7.69% |
Xponential |
Xponential Fitness Target Price Odds to finish below 15.13
The tendency of Xponential Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 15.13 | 90 days | 15.13 | about 86.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xponential Fitness to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 86.02 (This Xponential Fitness probability density function shows the probability of Xponential Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This entails Xponential Fitness market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Xponential Fitness is expected to follow. Additionally Xponential Fitness has an alpha of 0.0775, implying that it can generate a 0.0775 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xponential Fitness Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xponential Fitness
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xponential Fitness. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xponential Fitness Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xponential Fitness is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xponential Fitness' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xponential Fitness, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xponential Fitness within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Xponential Fitness Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xponential Fitness for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xponential Fitness can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xponential Fitness had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xponential Fitness currently holds 406.62 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Xponential Fitness has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Xponential Fitness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 318.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162 M. | |
| Xponential Fitness has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of Xponential Fitness outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Disposition of 26274 shares by Ryan Junk of Xponential Fitness subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Xponential Fitness Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xponential Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xponential Fitness' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xponential Fitness' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.1 M |
Xponential Fitness Technical Analysis
Xponential Fitness' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xponential Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xponential Fitness. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xponential Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xponential Fitness Predictive Forecast Models
Xponential Fitness' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xponential Fitness' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xponential Fitness' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xponential Fitness
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xponential Fitness for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xponential Fitness help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xponential Fitness had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xponential Fitness currently holds 406.62 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Xponential Fitness has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Xponential Fitness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 318.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162 M. | |
| Xponential Fitness has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of Xponential Fitness outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Disposition of 26274 shares by Ryan Junk of Xponential Fitness subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Xponential Fitness Backtesting, Xponential Fitness Valuation, Xponential Fitness Correlation, Xponential Fitness Hype Analysis, Xponential Fitness Volatility, Xponential Fitness History as well as Xponential Fitness Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xponential Fitness. If investors know Xponential will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xponential Fitness listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.15) | Revenue Per Share 10.372 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets 0.0441 |
The market value of Xponential Fitness is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xponential that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xponential Fitness' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xponential Fitness' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xponential Fitness' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xponential Fitness' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xponential Fitness' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xponential Fitness is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xponential Fitness' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.