STOMO MITSUI (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.65
| XMF Stock | 22.51 0.41 1.86% |
STOMO |
STOMO MITSUI Target Price Odds to finish below 19.65
The tendency of STOMO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 19.65 or more in 90 days |
| 22.51 | 90 days | 19.65 | about 23.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STOMO MITSUI to drop to 19.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.49 (This STOMO MITSUI FINL probability density function shows the probability of STOMO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STOMO MITSUI FINL price to stay between 19.65 and its current price of 22.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This entails STOMO MITSUI FINL market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, STOMO MITSUI is expected to follow. Additionally STOMO MITSUI FINL has an alpha of 0.2109, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). STOMO MITSUI Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for STOMO MITSUI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STOMO MITSUI FINL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of STOMO MITSUI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
STOMO MITSUI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STOMO MITSUI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STOMO MITSUI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STOMO MITSUI FINL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STOMO MITSUI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
STOMO MITSUI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STOMO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STOMO MITSUI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STOMO MITSUI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 274.1 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3 T |
STOMO MITSUI Technical Analysis
STOMO MITSUI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STOMO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STOMO MITSUI FINL. In general, you should focus on analyzing STOMO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
STOMO MITSUI Predictive Forecast Models
STOMO MITSUI's time-series forecasting models is one of many STOMO MITSUI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STOMO MITSUI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards STOMO MITSUI in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, STOMO MITSUI's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from STOMO MITSUI options trading.
Additional Tools for STOMO Stock Analysis
When running STOMO MITSUI's price analysis, check to measure STOMO MITSUI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STOMO MITSUI is operating at the current time. Most of STOMO MITSUI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STOMO MITSUI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STOMO MITSUI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STOMO MITSUI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.