XLMedia PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.79
| XLM Stock | 8.95 0.25 2.72% |
XLMedia |
XLMedia PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 25.79
The tendency of XLMedia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 25.79 or more in 90 days |
| 8.95 | 90 days | 25.79 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XLMedia PLC to move over 25.79 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This XLMedia PLC probability density function shows the probability of XLMedia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XLMedia PLC price to stay between its current price of 8.95 and 25.79 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon XLMedia PLC has a beta of 0.22. This entails as returns on the market go up, XLMedia PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding XLMedia PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally XLMedia PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. XLMedia PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for XLMedia PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XLMedia PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XLMedia PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XLMedia PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XLMedia PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XLMedia PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XLMedia PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
XLMedia PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XLMedia PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XLMedia PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| XLMedia PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| XLMedia PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 50.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.76 M. | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: XLMedia shares sink as wind-up plans expose sore spot - Proactive Investors UK |
XLMedia PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XLMedia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XLMedia PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XLMedia PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 262.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
XLMedia PLC Technical Analysis
XLMedia PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XLMedia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XLMedia PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing XLMedia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
XLMedia PLC Predictive Forecast Models
XLMedia PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many XLMedia PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XLMedia PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about XLMedia PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about XLMedia PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XLMedia PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| XLMedia PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| XLMedia PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 50.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.76 M. | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: XLMedia shares sink as wind-up plans expose sore spot - Proactive Investors UK |
Other Information on Investing in XLMedia Stock
XLMedia PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether XLMedia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XLMedia with respect to the benefits of owning XLMedia PLC security.