Xenia Hotels Resorts Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.47

XHR Stock  USD 16.21  0.14  0.86%   
Xenia Hotels' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Xenia Hotels Resorts. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Xenia Hotels based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Xenia Hotels Resorts over a specific time period. For example, XHR Option Call 20-12-2024 15 is a CALL option contract on Xenia Hotels' common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-05 at 11:36:33 for $2.07 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.15, and an ask price of $1.8. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All Xenia options

Closest to current price Xenia long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Xenia Hotels' future price is the expected price of Xenia Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xenia Hotels Resorts performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xenia Hotels Backtesting, Xenia Hotels Valuation, Xenia Hotels Correlation, Xenia Hotels Hype Analysis, Xenia Hotels Volatility, Xenia Hotels History as well as Xenia Hotels Performance.
  
At this time, Xenia Hotels' Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/11/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 1.43, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (1.12). Please specify Xenia Hotels' target price for which you would like Xenia Hotels odds to be computed.

Xenia Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 13.47

The tendency of Xenia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.47  in 90 days
 16.21 90 days 13.47 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xenia Hotels to stay above $ 13.47  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Xenia Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Xenia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xenia Hotels Resorts price to stay between $ 13.47  and its current price of $16.21 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Xenia Hotels will likely underperform. Additionally Xenia Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.1451, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xenia Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xenia Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xenia Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3216.2618.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0916.0317.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6916.6418.58
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.0014.2915.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xenia Hotels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xenia Hotels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xenia Hotels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xenia Hotels Resorts.

Xenia Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xenia Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xenia Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xenia Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xenia Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Xenia Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xenia Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xenia Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xenia Hotels Resorts is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 Xenia Hotels paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Xenia Hotels declares 0.12 dividend

Xenia Hotels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xenia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xenia Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xenia Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments164.7 M

Xenia Hotels Technical Analysis

Xenia Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xenia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xenia Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xenia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xenia Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

Xenia Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xenia Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xenia Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xenia Hotels Resorts

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xenia Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xenia Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xenia Hotels Resorts is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 Xenia Hotels paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Xenia Hotels declares 0.12 dividend

Additional Tools for Xenia Stock Analysis

When running Xenia Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Xenia Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xenia Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Xenia Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xenia Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xenia Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xenia Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.