Wt Financial (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.91

WTL Stock   0.08  0.01  7.87%   
Wt Financial's future price is the expected price of Wt Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wt Financial Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wt Financial Backtesting, Wt Financial Valuation, Wt Financial Correlation, Wt Financial Hype Analysis, Wt Financial Volatility, Wt Financial History as well as Wt Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Wt Financial's target price for which you would like Wt Financial odds to be computed.

Wt Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 2.91

The tendency of WTL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2.91  or more in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 2.91 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wt Financial to move over  2.91  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Wt Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of WTL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wt Financial Group price to stay between its current price of  0.08  and  2.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wt Financial Group has a beta of -0.71. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wt Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wt Financial Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wt Financial Group has an alpha of 0.2583, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wt Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wt Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wt Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.092.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.082.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.092.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.090.1
Details

Wt Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wt Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wt Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wt Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wt Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Wt Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wt Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wt Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wt Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wt Financial Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wt Financial Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Edgestream Partners L.P. Makes New Investment in WisdomTree, Inc. - MarketBeat

Wt Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WTL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wt Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wt Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding340.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.1 M

Wt Financial Technical Analysis

Wt Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WTL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wt Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing WTL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wt Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Wt Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wt Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wt Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wt Financial Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wt Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wt Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wt Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wt Financial Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wt Financial Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Edgestream Partners L.P. Makes New Investment in WisdomTree, Inc. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for WTL Stock Analysis

When running Wt Financial's price analysis, check to measure Wt Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wt Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Wt Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wt Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wt Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wt Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.