Waterstone Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.69
| WSBF Stock | USD 13.44 0.16 1.20% |
Waterstone |
Waterstone Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 11.69
The tendency of Waterstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.69 or more in 90 days |
| 13.44 | 90 days | 11.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Waterstone Financial to drop to $ 11.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Waterstone Financial probability density function shows the probability of Waterstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Waterstone Financial price to stay between $ 11.69 and its current price of $13.44 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Waterstone Financial has a beta of -0.011. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Waterstone Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Waterstone Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Waterstone Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Waterstone Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Waterstone Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waterstone Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Waterstone Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Waterstone Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Waterstone Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Waterstone Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Waterstone Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Waterstone Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Waterstone Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Waterstone Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Waterstone Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Waterstone Financial currently holds about 103.14 M in cash with (27.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.83. | |
| Waterstone Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Report - Stock Traders Daily |
Waterstone Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Waterstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Waterstone Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waterstone Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.4 M |
Waterstone Financial Technical Analysis
Waterstone Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Waterstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Waterstone Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Waterstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.