Graham Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 835.00

WPOB Stock  EUR 835.00  10.00  1.21%   
Graham Holdings' future price is the expected price of Graham Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Graham Holdings Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Graham Holdings Backtesting, Graham Holdings Valuation, Graham Holdings Correlation, Graham Holdings Hype Analysis, Graham Holdings Volatility, Graham Holdings History as well as Graham Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify Graham Holdings' target price for which you would like Graham Holdings odds to be computed.

Graham Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 835.00

The tendency of Graham Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 835.00 90 days 835.00 
about 33.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graham Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.96 (This Graham Holdings Co probability density function shows the probability of Graham Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Graham Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Graham Holdings Co has an alpha of 0.2112, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Graham Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Graham Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graham Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
832.61835.00837.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
751.50967.60969.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
838.90841.30843.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
828.72880.00931.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graham Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graham Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graham Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Graham Holdings.

Graham Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graham Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graham Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graham Holdings Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graham Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
78.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Graham Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graham Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graham Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Graham Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graham Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graham Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graham Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.8 M

Graham Holdings Technical Analysis

Graham Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graham Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graham Holdings Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graham Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Graham Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Graham Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Graham Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graham Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Graham Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Graham Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graham Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Graham Stock

When determining whether Graham Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Graham Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Graham Holdings Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Graham Holdings Co Stock:
Check out Graham Holdings Backtesting, Graham Holdings Valuation, Graham Holdings Correlation, Graham Holdings Hype Analysis, Graham Holdings Volatility, Graham Holdings History as well as Graham Holdings Performance.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graham Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.