Woodside Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.66

WOP0 Stock   14.02  0.05  0.36%   
Woodside Energy's future price is the expected price of Woodside Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Woodside Energy Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Woodside Energy Backtesting, Woodside Energy Valuation, Woodside Energy Correlation, Woodside Energy Hype Analysis, Woodside Energy Volatility, Woodside Energy History as well as Woodside Energy Performance.
  
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Woodside Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 8.66

The tendency of Woodside Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  8.66  or more in 90 days
 14.02 90 days 8.66 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Woodside Energy to drop to  8.66  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Woodside Energy Group probability density function shows the probability of Woodside Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Woodside Energy Group price to stay between  8.66  and its current price of 14.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Woodside Energy has a beta of 0.26. This entails as returns on the market go up, Woodside Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Woodside Energy Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Woodside Energy Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Woodside Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Woodside Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Woodside Energy Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2014.0215.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6811.5015.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2314.0415.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2814.5418.81
Details

Woodside Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Woodside Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Woodside Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Woodside Energy Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Woodside Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Woodside Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Woodside Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Woodside Energy Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Woodside Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Woodside Energy Technical Analysis

Woodside Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Woodside Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Woodside Energy Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Woodside Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Woodside Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Woodside Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Woodside Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Woodside Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Woodside Energy Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Woodside Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Woodside Energy Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Woodside Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Woodside Stock

When determining whether Woodside Energy Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Woodside Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Woodside Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Woodside Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Woodside Energy Backtesting, Woodside Energy Valuation, Woodside Energy Correlation, Woodside Energy Hype Analysis, Woodside Energy Volatility, Woodside Energy History as well as Woodside Energy Performance.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Woodside Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Woodside Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Woodside Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.