MOAB MINERALS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.0E-4
| WMR0 Stock | 0.0005 0.0005 50.00% |
MOAB |
MOAB MINERALS Target Price Odds to finish over 5.0E-4
The tendency of MOAB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.0005 | 90 days | 0.0005 | about 92.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MOAB MINERALS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.3 (This MOAB MINERALS LTD probability density function shows the probability of MOAB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 9.52 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MOAB MINERALS will likely underperform. In addition to that MOAB MINERALS LTD has an alpha of 6.5971, implying that it can generate a 6.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MOAB MINERALS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MOAB MINERALS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MOAB MINERALS LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MOAB MINERALS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MOAB MINERALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MOAB MINERALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MOAB MINERALS LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MOAB MINERALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 6.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 9.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
MOAB MINERALS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MOAB MINERALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MOAB MINERALS LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MOAB MINERALS LTD is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MOAB MINERALS LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MOAB MINERALS LTD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
MOAB MINERALS Technical Analysis
MOAB MINERALS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MOAB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MOAB MINERALS LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing MOAB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MOAB MINERALS Predictive Forecast Models
MOAB MINERALS's time-series forecasting models is one of many MOAB MINERALS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MOAB MINERALS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MOAB MINERALS LTD
Checking the ongoing alerts about MOAB MINERALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MOAB MINERALS LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MOAB MINERALS LTD is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MOAB MINERALS LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MOAB MINERALS LTD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |