John Wiley Sons Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 48.3
| WLYB Stock | USD 44.25 0.11 0.25% |
John |
John Wiley Target Price Odds to finish below 48.3
The tendency of John Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 48.30 after 90 days |
| 44.25 | 90 days | 48.30 | about 56.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Wiley to stay under $ 48.30 after 90 days from now is about 56.68 (This John Wiley Sons probability density function shows the probability of John Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Wiley Sons price to stay between its current price of $ 44.25 and $ 48.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days John Wiley has a beta of 0.34. This entails as returns on the market go up, John Wiley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding John Wiley Sons will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally John Wiley Sons has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. John Wiley Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for John Wiley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Wiley Sons. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Wiley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
John Wiley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Wiley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Wiley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Wiley Sons, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Wiley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
John Wiley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Wiley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Wiley Sons can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| John Wiley Sons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John Wiley Sons currently holds 887.28 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. John Wiley Sons has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about John Wiley's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (200.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 B. | |
| John Wiley Sons has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 92.0% of John Wiley outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: John Wiley Sons, Inc. to Issue Dividend Increase 0.35 Per Share |
John Wiley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John Wiley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Wiley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.2 M |
John Wiley Technical Analysis
John Wiley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Wiley Sons. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
John Wiley Predictive Forecast Models
John Wiley's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Wiley's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Wiley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about John Wiley Sons
Checking the ongoing alerts about John Wiley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Wiley Sons help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| John Wiley Sons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John Wiley Sons currently holds 887.28 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. John Wiley Sons has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about John Wiley's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (200.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 B. | |
| John Wiley Sons has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 92.0% of John Wiley outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: John Wiley Sons, Inc. to Issue Dividend Increase 0.35 Per Share |
Check out John Wiley Backtesting, John Wiley Valuation, John Wiley Correlation, John Wiley Hype Analysis, John Wiley Volatility, John Wiley History as well as John Wiley Performance. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of John Wiley. If investors know John will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about John Wiley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Earnings Share (0.92) | Revenue Per Share 33.365 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets 0.051 |
The market value of John Wiley Sons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of John that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of John Wiley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is John Wiley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because John Wiley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect John Wiley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between John Wiley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Wiley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Wiley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.