John Wiley Sons Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.51
| WLY Stock | USD 42.20 0.75 1.75% |
Closest to current price John long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
John |
John Wiley Target Price Odds to finish below 49.51
The tendency of John Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 49.51 after 90 days |
| 42.20 | 90 days | 49.51 | about 64.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Wiley to stay under $ 49.51 after 90 days from now is about 64.27 (This John Wiley Sons probability density function shows the probability of John Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Wiley Sons price to stay between its current price of $ 42.20 and $ 49.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.85 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon John Wiley has a beta of 0.13. This entails as returns on the market go up, John Wiley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding John Wiley Sons will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally John Wiley Sons has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. John Wiley Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for John Wiley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Wiley Sons. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.John Wiley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Wiley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Wiley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Wiley Sons, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Wiley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
John Wiley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Wiley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Wiley Sons can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| John Wiley Sons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John Wiley Sons has 887.28 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is OK given its current industry classification. John Wiley Sons has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for John to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 1.87 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (200.32 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.38 B. | |
| Over 93.0% of John Wiley outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
John Wiley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John Wiley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Wiley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.2 M |
John Wiley Technical Analysis
John Wiley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Wiley Sons. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
John Wiley Predictive Forecast Models
John Wiley's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Wiley's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Wiley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about John Wiley Sons
Checking the ongoing alerts about John Wiley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Wiley Sons help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| John Wiley Sons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John Wiley Sons has 887.28 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is OK given its current industry classification. John Wiley Sons has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for John to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 1.87 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (200.32 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.38 B. | |
| Over 93.0% of John Wiley outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for John Stock Analysis
When running John Wiley's price analysis, check to measure John Wiley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Wiley is operating at the current time. Most of John Wiley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Wiley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Wiley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Wiley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.