Wisekey International Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.61
| WKEY Stock | USD 6.99 0.99 16.50% |
Wisekey |
Wisekey International Target Price Odds to finish below 1.61
The tendency of Wisekey Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.61 or more in 90 days |
| 6.99 | 90 days | 1.61 | about 28.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wisekey International to drop to $ 1.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 28.72 (This Wisekey International Holding probability density function shows the probability of Wisekey Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wisekey International price to stay between $ 1.61 and its current price of $6.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Wisekey International Holding has a beta of -0.61. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wisekey International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wisekey International Holding is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Wisekey International Holding has an alpha of 3.0126, implying that it can generate a 3.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wisekey International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Wisekey International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wisekey International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wisekey International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wisekey International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wisekey International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wisekey International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wisekey International Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wisekey International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Wisekey International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wisekey International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wisekey International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wisekey International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Wisekey International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Wisekey International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.39 M. | |
| Wisekey International Holding currently holds about 22.82 M in cash with (14.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.12. | |
| Wisekey International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: WISeKey Unveils Next-Gen Quantum Security Solution, Launches Quantum Lab for Post-Quantum Cryptography - StockTitan |
Wisekey International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wisekey Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wisekey International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wisekey International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.3 M |
Wisekey International Technical Analysis
Wisekey International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wisekey Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wisekey International Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wisekey Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wisekey International Predictive Forecast Models
Wisekey International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wisekey International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wisekey International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wisekey International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wisekey International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wisekey International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wisekey International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Wisekey International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Wisekey International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.39 M. | |
| Wisekey International Holding currently holds about 22.82 M in cash with (14.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.12. | |
| Wisekey International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: WISeKey Unveils Next-Gen Quantum Security Solution, Launches Quantum Lab for Post-Quantum Cryptography - StockTitan |
Additional Tools for Wisekey Stock Analysis
When running Wisekey International's price analysis, check to measure Wisekey International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wisekey International is operating at the current time. Most of Wisekey International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wisekey International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wisekey International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wisekey International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.