M Winkworth (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 193.05
| WINK Stock | 195.00 0.00 0.00% |
WINK |
M Winkworth Target Price Odds to finish over 193.05
The tendency of WINK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 193.05 in 90 days |
| 195.00 | 90 days | 193.05 | about 60.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of M Winkworth to stay above 193.05 in 90 days from now is about 60.98 (This M Winkworth PLC probability density function shows the probability of WINK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of M Winkworth PLC price to stay between 193.05 and its current price of 195.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon M Winkworth has a beta of 0.25. This entails as returns on the market go up, M Winkworth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding M Winkworth PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally M Winkworth PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. M Winkworth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for M Winkworth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as M Winkworth PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.M Winkworth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. M Winkworth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the M Winkworth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold M Winkworth PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of M Winkworth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
M Winkworth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of M Winkworth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for M Winkworth PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| M Winkworth PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 14th of November 2024 M Winkworth paid 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
M Winkworth Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WINK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential M Winkworth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. M Winkworth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
M Winkworth Technical Analysis
M Winkworth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WINK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of M Winkworth PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing WINK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
M Winkworth Predictive Forecast Models
M Winkworth's time-series forecasting models is one of many M Winkworth's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary M Winkworth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about M Winkworth PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about M Winkworth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for M Winkworth PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| M Winkworth PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 14th of November 2024 M Winkworth paid 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Tools for WINK Stock Analysis
When running M Winkworth's price analysis, check to measure M Winkworth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy M Winkworth is operating at the current time. Most of M Winkworth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of M Winkworth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move M Winkworth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of M Winkworth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.