Westcore Flexible Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.24

WILTX Fund  USD 8.67  0.01  0.12%   
Westcore Flexible's future price is the expected price of Westcore Flexible instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Westcore Flexible Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Westcore Flexible Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Westcore Flexible Correlation, Westcore Flexible Hype Analysis, Westcore Flexible Volatility, Westcore Flexible History as well as Westcore Flexible Performance.
  
Please specify Westcore Flexible's target price for which you would like Westcore Flexible odds to be computed.

Westcore Flexible Target Price Odds to finish over 8.24

The tendency of Westcore Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.24  in 90 days
 8.67 90 days 8.24 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Westcore Flexible to stay above $ 8.24  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Westcore Flexible Income probability density function shows the probability of Westcore Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Westcore Flexible Income price to stay between $ 8.24  and its current price of $8.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Westcore Flexible has a beta of 0.0214. This entails as returns on the market go up, Westcore Flexible average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Westcore Flexible Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Westcore Flexible Income has an alpha of 0.007, implying that it can generate a 0.006995 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Westcore Flexible Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Westcore Flexible

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westcore Flexible Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Westcore Flexible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.538.678.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.837.979.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.568.708.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.598.648.70
Details

Westcore Flexible Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Westcore Flexible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Westcore Flexible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Westcore Flexible Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Westcore Flexible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.75

Westcore Flexible Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Westcore Flexible for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Westcore Flexible Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 93.42% of its net assets in bonds

Westcore Flexible Technical Analysis

Westcore Flexible's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Westcore Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Westcore Flexible Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Westcore Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Westcore Flexible Predictive Forecast Models

Westcore Flexible's time-series forecasting models is one of many Westcore Flexible's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Westcore Flexible's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Westcore Flexible Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Westcore Flexible for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Westcore Flexible Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 93.42% of its net assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Westcore Mutual Fund

Westcore Flexible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westcore Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westcore with respect to the benefits of owning Westcore Flexible security.
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