WIZZ AIR (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.69

WI20 Stock   3.70  0.06  1.60%   
WIZZ AIR's future price is the expected price of WIZZ AIR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WIZZ AIR Backtesting, WIZZ AIR Valuation, WIZZ AIR Correlation, WIZZ AIR Hype Analysis, WIZZ AIR Volatility, WIZZ AIR History as well as WIZZ AIR Performance.
  
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WIZZ AIR Target Price Odds to finish below 3.69

The tendency of WIZZ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3.69  or more in 90 days
 3.70 90 days 3.69 
about 27.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WIZZ AIR to drop to  3.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.52 (This WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4 probability density function shows the probability of WIZZ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4 price to stay between  3.69  and its current price of 3.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This entails WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4 market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, WIZZ AIR is expected to follow. Additionally WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   WIZZ AIR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WIZZ AIR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.143.707.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.216.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.637.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.683.854.03
Details

WIZZ AIR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WIZZ AIR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WIZZ AIR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WIZZ AIR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0082
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0

WIZZ AIR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WIZZ AIR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WIZZ AIR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
WIZZ AIR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

WIZZ AIR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WIZZ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WIZZ AIR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WIZZ AIR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float304.5 M

WIZZ AIR Technical Analysis

WIZZ AIR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WIZZ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4. In general, you should focus on analyzing WIZZ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WIZZ AIR Predictive Forecast Models

WIZZ AIR's time-series forecasting models is one of many WIZZ AIR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WIZZ AIR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4

Checking the ongoing alerts about WIZZ AIR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WIZZ AIR HLDGUNSPADR4 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WIZZ AIR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
WIZZ AIR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Other Information on Investing in WIZZ Stock

WIZZ AIR financial ratios help investors to determine whether WIZZ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WIZZ with respect to the benefits of owning WIZZ AIR security.