Wilson Bayly (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23,405

WBO Stock   21,905  33.00  0.15%   
Wilson Bayly's future price is the expected price of Wilson Bayly instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilson Bayly Holmes performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilson Bayly Backtesting, Wilson Bayly Valuation, Wilson Bayly Correlation, Wilson Bayly Hype Analysis, Wilson Bayly Volatility, Wilson Bayly History as well as Wilson Bayly Performance.
  
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Wilson Bayly Target Price Odds to finish over 23,405

The tendency of Wilson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21,905 90 days 21,905 
about 31.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilson Bayly to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.09 (This Wilson Bayly Holmes probability density function shows the probability of Wilson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wilson Bayly has a beta of 0.0461. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilson Bayly average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilson Bayly Holmes will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilson Bayly Holmes has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wilson Bayly Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilson Bayly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilson Bayly Holmes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,87021,87221,874
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20,04620,04824,059
Details

Wilson Bayly Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilson Bayly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilson Bayly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilson Bayly Holmes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilson Bayly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
776.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Wilson Bayly Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilson Bayly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilson Bayly Holmes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilson Bayly Holmes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilson Bayly generates negative cash flow from operations
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Wilson Bayly Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilson Bayly's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilson Bayly's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 B

Wilson Bayly Technical Analysis

Wilson Bayly's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilson Bayly Holmes. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilson Bayly Predictive Forecast Models

Wilson Bayly's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilson Bayly's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilson Bayly's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilson Bayly Holmes

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilson Bayly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilson Bayly Holmes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilson Bayly Holmes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilson Bayly generates negative cash flow from operations
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Wilson Stock

Wilson Bayly financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilson with respect to the benefits of owning Wilson Bayly security.