Wah Nobel (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 171.49
| WAHN Stock | 232.63 2.04 0.88% |
Wah |
Wah Nobel Target Price Odds to finish below 171.49
The tendency of Wah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 171.49 or more in 90 days |
| 232.63 | 90 days | 171.49 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wah Nobel to drop to 171.49 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wah Nobel Chemicals probability density function shows the probability of Wah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wah Nobel Chemicals price to stay between 171.49 and its current price of 232.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wah Nobel Chemicals has a beta of -0.43. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wah Nobel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wah Nobel Chemicals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wah Nobel Chemicals has an alpha of 0.2082, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wah Nobel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wah Nobel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wah Nobel Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wah Nobel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wah Nobel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wah Nobel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wah Nobel Chemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wah Nobel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Wah Nobel Technical Analysis
Wah Nobel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wah Nobel Chemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wah Nobel Predictive Forecast Models
Wah Nobel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wah Nobel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wah Nobel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Wah Nobel in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Wah Nobel's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Wah Nobel options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Wah Stock
Wah Nobel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wah Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wah with respect to the benefits of owning Wah Nobel security.