Wah Fu Education Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.96
| WAFU Stock | USD 1.55 0.06 4.03% |
Wah |
Wah Fu Target Price Odds to finish below 1.96
The tendency of Wah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.96 after 90 days |
| 1.55 | 90 days | 1.96 | about 91.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wah Fu to stay under $ 1.96 after 90 days from now is about 91.48 (This Wah Fu Education probability density function shows the probability of Wah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wah Fu Education price to stay between its current price of $ 1.55 and $ 1.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Wah Fu Education has a beta of -0.0527. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wah Fu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wah Fu Education is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wah Fu Education has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wah Fu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wah Fu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wah Fu Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wah Fu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wah Fu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wah Fu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wah Fu Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wah Fu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Wah Fu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wah Fu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wah Fu Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wah Fu Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wah Fu Education may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Wah Fu Education has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.29 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.52 M. | |
| Wah Fu Education currently holds about 11.76 M in cash with (767.31 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Wah Fu Education Group Ltd. to Hold Annual General Meeting on January 10, 2025 |
Wah Fu Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wah Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wah Fu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wah Fu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11 M |
Wah Fu Technical Analysis
Wah Fu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wah Fu Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wah Fu Predictive Forecast Models
Wah Fu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wah Fu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wah Fu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wah Fu Education
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wah Fu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wah Fu Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wah Fu Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wah Fu Education may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Wah Fu Education has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.29 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.52 M. | |
| Wah Fu Education currently holds about 11.76 M in cash with (767.31 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Wah Fu Education Group Ltd. to Hold Annual General Meeting on January 10, 2025 |
Additional Tools for Wah Stock Analysis
When running Wah Fu's price analysis, check to measure Wah Fu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wah Fu is operating at the current time. Most of Wah Fu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wah Fu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wah Fu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wah Fu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.