KOWORLD AG (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.69
| VVV3 Stock | EUR 28.60 0.60 2.14% |
KOWORLD |
KOWORLD AG Target Price Odds to finish below 21.69
The tendency of KOWORLD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 21.69 or more in 90 days |
| 28.60 | 90 days | 21.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KOWORLD AG to drop to € 21.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KOWORLD AG probability density function shows the probability of KOWORLD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KOWORLD AG price to stay between € 21.69 and its current price of €28.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KOWORLD AG has a beta of 0.19. This entails as returns on the market go up, KOWORLD AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KOWORLD AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KOWORLD AG has an alpha of 0.077, implying that it can generate a 0.077 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KOWORLD AG Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KOWORLD AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KOWORLD AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KOWORLD AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KOWORLD AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KOWORLD AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KOWORLD AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KOWORLD AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
KOWORLD AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KOWORLD AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KOWORLD AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KOWORLD AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
KOWORLD AG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KOWORLD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KOWORLD AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KOWORLD AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M |
KOWORLD AG Technical Analysis
KOWORLD AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KOWORLD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KOWORLD AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing KOWORLD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KOWORLD AG Predictive Forecast Models
KOWORLD AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many KOWORLD AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KOWORLD AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KOWORLD AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about KOWORLD AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KOWORLD AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KOWORLD AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in KOWORLD Stock
KOWORLD AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether KOWORLD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KOWORLD with respect to the benefits of owning KOWORLD AG security.