Verra Mobility Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.71
| VRRM Stock | USD 23.79 0.22 0.92% |
Verra |
Verra Mobility Target Price Odds to finish below 23.71
The tendency of Verra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 23.71 or more in 90 days |
| 23.79 | 90 days | 23.71 | about 17.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verra Mobility to drop to $ 23.71 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.62 (This Verra Mobility Corp probability density function shows the probability of Verra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verra Mobility Corp price to stay between $ 23.71 and its current price of $23.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Verra Mobility has a beta of 0.6. This entails as returns on the market go up, Verra Mobility average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Verra Mobility Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Verra Mobility Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Verra Mobility Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Verra Mobility
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verra Mobility Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Verra Mobility Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verra Mobility is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verra Mobility's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verra Mobility Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verra Mobility within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Verra Mobility Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verra Mobility for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verra Mobility Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Verra Mobility Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Verra Mobility Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wellington Management Group LLP Purchases 941,127 Shares of Verra Mobility Co. |
Verra Mobility Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verra Mobility's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verra Mobility's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 138.6 M |
Verra Mobility Technical Analysis
Verra Mobility's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verra Mobility Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Verra Mobility Predictive Forecast Models
Verra Mobility's time-series forecasting models is one of many Verra Mobility's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Verra Mobility's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Verra Mobility Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Verra Mobility for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verra Mobility Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Verra Mobility Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Verra Mobility Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wellington Management Group LLP Purchases 941,127 Shares of Verra Mobility Co. |
Check out Verra Mobility Backtesting, Verra Mobility Valuation, Verra Mobility Correlation, Verra Mobility Hype Analysis, Verra Mobility Volatility, Verra Mobility History as well as Verra Mobility Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verra Mobility. If investors know Verra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verra Mobility listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | Earnings Share 0.6 | Revenue Per Share 5.237 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 | Return On Assets 0.0827 |
The market value of Verra Mobility Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verra Mobility's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verra Mobility's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verra Mobility's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verra Mobility's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verra Mobility's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verra Mobility is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verra Mobility's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.