Vera Bradley Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.48
| VRA Stock | USD 3.60 0.11 2.96% |
Vera |
Vera Bradley Target Price Odds to finish below 3.48
The tendency of Vera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.48 or more in 90 days |
| 3.60 | 90 days | 3.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vera Bradley to drop to $ 3.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vera Bradley probability density function shows the probability of Vera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vera Bradley price to stay between $ 3.48 and its current price of $3.6 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vera Bradley has a beta of 0.76. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vera Bradley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vera Bradley will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vera Bradley has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vera Bradley Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vera Bradley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vera Bradley. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vera Bradley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vera Bradley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vera Bradley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vera Bradley, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vera Bradley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Vera Bradley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vera Bradley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vera Bradley can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vera Bradley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vera Bradley has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vera Bradley has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bear of the Day Vera Bradley, Inc. |
Vera Bradley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vera Bradley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vera Bradley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.3 M |
Vera Bradley Technical Analysis
Vera Bradley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vera Bradley. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vera Bradley Predictive Forecast Models
Vera Bradley's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vera Bradley's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vera Bradley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vera Bradley
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vera Bradley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vera Bradley help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vera Bradley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vera Bradley has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vera Bradley has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bear of the Day Vera Bradley, Inc. |
Check out Vera Bradley Backtesting, Vera Bradley Valuation, Vera Bradley Correlation, Vera Bradley Hype Analysis, Vera Bradley Volatility, Vera Bradley History as well as Vera Bradley Performance. For information on how to trade Vera Stock refer to our How to Trade Vera Stock guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vera Bradley. If investors know Vera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vera Bradley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Earnings Share (0.58) | Revenue Per Share 14.465 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets 0.0027 |
The market value of Vera Bradley is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vera Bradley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vera Bradley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vera Bradley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vera Bradley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vera Bradley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vera Bradley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vera Bradley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.