Vishay Precision Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.28

VPG Stock  USD 22.89  0.26  1.12%   
Vishay Precision's future price is the expected price of Vishay Precision instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vishay Precision Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vishay Precision Backtesting, Vishay Precision Valuation, Vishay Precision Correlation, Vishay Precision Hype Analysis, Vishay Precision Volatility, Vishay Precision History as well as Vishay Precision Performance.
  
At this time, Vishay Precision's Price Cash Flow Ratio is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. Please specify Vishay Precision's target price for which you would like Vishay Precision odds to be computed.

Vishay Precision Target Price Odds to finish below 15.28

The tendency of Vishay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.28  or more in 90 days
 22.89 90 days 15.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vishay Precision to drop to $ 15.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vishay Precision Group probability density function shows the probability of Vishay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vishay Precision price to stay between $ 15.28  and its current price of $22.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.14 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vishay Precision Group has a beta of -0.4. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vishay Precision are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vishay Precision Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vishay Precision Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vishay Precision Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vishay Precision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vishay Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.9123.0725.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7529.3531.51
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.6848.0053.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.260.260.27
Details

Vishay Precision Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vishay Precision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vishay Precision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vishay Precision Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vishay Precision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Vishay Precision Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vishay Precision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vishay Precision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vishay Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Vishay Intertechnology Underperforms in Latest Earnings Report

Vishay Precision Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vishay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vishay Precision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vishay Precision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments84 M

Vishay Precision Technical Analysis

Vishay Precision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vishay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vishay Precision Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vishay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vishay Precision Predictive Forecast Models

Vishay Precision's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vishay Precision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vishay Precision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vishay Precision

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vishay Precision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vishay Precision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vishay Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Vishay Intertechnology Underperforms in Latest Earnings Report
When determining whether Vishay Precision is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vishay Precision's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vishay Precision's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vishay Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vishay Precision. If investors know Vishay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vishay Precision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Earnings Share
0.99
Revenue Per Share
24.13
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0394
The market value of Vishay Precision is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vishay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vishay Precision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vishay Precision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vishay Precision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vishay Precision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vishay Precision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vishay Precision is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vishay Precision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.