Volvo Ab Ser Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 16.68

VOLVF Stock  USD 26.30  0.10  0.38%   
Volvo AB's future price is the expected price of Volvo AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Volvo AB ser performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Volvo AB Backtesting, Volvo AB Valuation, Volvo AB Correlation, Volvo AB Hype Analysis, Volvo AB Volatility, Volvo AB History as well as Volvo AB Performance.
  
Please specify Volvo AB's target price for which you would like Volvo AB odds to be computed.

Volvo AB Target Price Odds to finish below 16.68

The tendency of Volvo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.68  or more in 90 days
 26.30 90 days 16.68 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Volvo AB to drop to $ 16.68  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Volvo AB ser probability density function shows the probability of Volvo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Volvo AB ser price to stay between $ 16.68  and its current price of $26.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Volvo AB has a beta of 0.0776. This entails as returns on the market go up, Volvo AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Volvo AB ser will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Volvo AB ser has an alpha of 0.1081, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Volvo AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Volvo AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Volvo AB ser. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Volvo AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4326.3028.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.0724.9426.81
Details

Volvo AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Volvo AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Volvo AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Volvo AB ser, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Volvo AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Volvo AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Volvo AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Volvo AB ser can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Volvo AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Volvo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Volvo AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Volvo AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Volvo AB Technical Analysis

Volvo AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Volvo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Volvo AB ser. In general, you should focus on analyzing Volvo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Volvo AB Predictive Forecast Models

Volvo AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Volvo AB's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Volvo AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Volvo AB ser

Checking the ongoing alerts about Volvo AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Volvo AB ser help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Volvo Pink Sheet

Volvo AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Volvo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Volvo with respect to the benefits of owning Volvo AB security.