Vaneck Vietnam Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 11.95

VNM Etf  USD 11.73  0.11  0.93%   
VanEck Vietnam's future price is the expected price of VanEck Vietnam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VanEck Vietnam ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VanEck Vietnam Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Vietnam Correlation, VanEck Vietnam Hype Analysis, VanEck Vietnam Volatility, VanEck Vietnam History as well as VanEck Vietnam Performance.
  
Please specify VanEck Vietnam's target price for which you would like VanEck Vietnam odds to be computed.

VanEck Vietnam Target Price Odds to finish below 11.95

The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.95  after 90 days
 11.73 90 days 11.95 
about 35.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Vietnam to stay under $ 11.95  after 90 days from now is about 35.41 (This VanEck Vietnam ETF probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Vietnam ETF price to stay between its current price of $ 11.73  and $ 11.95  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon VanEck Vietnam has a beta of 0.52. This entails as returns on the market go up, VanEck Vietnam average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Vietnam ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Vietnam ETF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VanEck Vietnam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck Vietnam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Vietnam ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7911.7312.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8911.8312.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8911.8312.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4011.7412.09
Details

VanEck Vietnam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Vietnam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Vietnam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Vietnam ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Vietnam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

VanEck Vietnam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Vietnam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Vietnam ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VanEck Vietnam ETF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Jane Street Group LLC Has 22 Million Holdings in VanEck VietnamETF
This fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0%
VanEck Vietnam keeps 99.54% of its net assets in stocks

VanEck Vietnam Technical Analysis

VanEck Vietnam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Vietnam ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VanEck Vietnam Predictive Forecast Models

VanEck Vietnam's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Vietnam's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Vietnam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VanEck Vietnam ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Vietnam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Vietnam ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VanEck Vietnam ETF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Jane Street Group LLC Has 22 Million Holdings in VanEck VietnamETF
This fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0%
VanEck Vietnam keeps 99.54% of its net assets in stocks
When determining whether VanEck Vietnam ETF is a strong investment it is important to analyze VanEck Vietnam's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact VanEck Vietnam's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding VanEck Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out VanEck Vietnam Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Vietnam Correlation, VanEck Vietnam Hype Analysis, VanEck Vietnam Volatility, VanEck Vietnam History as well as VanEck Vietnam Performance.
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The market value of VanEck Vietnam ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Vietnam's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Vietnam's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Vietnam's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Vietnam's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Vietnam's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Vietnam is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Vietnam's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.