Vietnam Dairy (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63816.04
| VNM Stock | 63,900 200.00 0.31% |
Vietnam |
Vietnam Dairy Target Price Odds to finish below 63816.04
The tendency of Vietnam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 63,816 or more in 90 days |
| 63,900 | 90 days | 63,816 | about 12.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vietnam Dairy to drop to 63,816 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.18 (This Vietnam Dairy Products probability density function shows the probability of Vietnam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vietnam Dairy Products price to stay between 63,816 and its current price of 63900.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vietnam Dairy has a beta of 0.14. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vietnam Dairy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vietnam Dairy Products will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vietnam Dairy Products has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vietnam Dairy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vietnam Dairy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vietnam Dairy Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vietnam Dairy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vietnam Dairy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vietnam Dairy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vietnam Dairy Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vietnam Dairy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3,016 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
Vietnam Dairy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vietnam Dairy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vietnam Dairy Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vietnam Dairy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Vietnam Dairy Technical Analysis
Vietnam Dairy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vietnam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vietnam Dairy Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vietnam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vietnam Dairy Predictive Forecast Models
Vietnam Dairy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vietnam Dairy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vietnam Dairy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vietnam Dairy Products
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vietnam Dairy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vietnam Dairy Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vietnam Dairy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Vietnam Stock
Vietnam Dairy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vietnam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vietnam with respect to the benefits of owning Vietnam Dairy security.