Value8 NV (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.24
| VALUE Stock | EUR 5.70 0.10 1.72% |
Value8 |
Value8 NV Target Price Odds to finish below 4.24
The tendency of Value8 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.24 or more in 90 days |
| 5.70 | 90 days | 4.24 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Value8 NV to drop to € 4.24 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Value8 NV probability density function shows the probability of Value8 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Value8 NV price to stay between € 4.24 and its current price of €5.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Value8 NV has a beta of -0.27. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Value8 NV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Value8 NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Value8 NV has an alpha of 0.1231, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Value8 NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Value8 NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value8 NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Value8 NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Value8 NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Value8 NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Value8 NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Value8 NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Value8 NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Value8 NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Value8 NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Value8 NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Value8 NV has accumulated about 34 M in cash with (12.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.49. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Value8 NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Value8 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Value8 NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Value8 NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.7 M |
Value8 NV Technical Analysis
Value8 NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Value8 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Value8 NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Value8 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Value8 NV Predictive Forecast Models
Value8 NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Value8 NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Value8 NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Value8 NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Value8 NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Value8 NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Value8 NV has accumulated about 34 M in cash with (12.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.49. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Value8 Stock
Value8 NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value8 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value8 with respect to the benefits of owning Value8 NV security.