V1TA34 (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 172.86

V1TA34 Stock  BRL 184.49  0.95  0.51%   
V1TA34's future price is the expected price of V1TA34 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of V1TA34 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out V1TA34 Backtesting, V1TA34 Valuation, V1TA34 Correlation, V1TA34 Hype Analysis, V1TA34 Volatility, V1TA34 History as well as V1TA34 Performance.
  
Please specify V1TA34's target price for which you would like V1TA34 odds to be computed.

V1TA34 Target Price Odds to finish below 172.86

The tendency of V1TA34 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to R$ 172.86  or more in 90 days
 184.49 90 days 172.86 
about 5.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of V1TA34 to drop to R$ 172.86  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.94 (This V1TA34 probability density function shows the probability of V1TA34 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of V1TA34 price to stay between R$ 172.86  and its current price of R$184.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon V1TA34 has a beta of 0.0952. This entails as returns on the market go up, V1TA34 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding V1TA34 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally V1TA34 has an alpha of 0.1227, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   V1TA34 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for V1TA34

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as V1TA34. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
183.18184.49185.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.66154.97202.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as V1TA34. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against V1TA34's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, V1TA34's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in V1TA34.

V1TA34 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. V1TA34 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the V1TA34's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold V1TA34, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of V1TA34 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
5.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

V1TA34 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of V1TA34 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for V1TA34 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
V1TA34 has accumulated 11.97 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. V1TA34 has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist V1TA34 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, V1TA34's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like V1TA34 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for V1TA34 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about V1TA34's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

V1TA34 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of V1TA34 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential V1TA34's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. V1TA34's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.14
Float Shares378.86M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day14
Average Daily Volume In Three Month57
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.41%

V1TA34 Technical Analysis

V1TA34's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. V1TA34 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of V1TA34. In general, you should focus on analyzing V1TA34 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

V1TA34 Predictive Forecast Models

V1TA34's time-series forecasting models is one of many V1TA34's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary V1TA34's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about V1TA34

Checking the ongoing alerts about V1TA34 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for V1TA34 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
V1TA34 has accumulated 11.97 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. V1TA34 has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist V1TA34 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, V1TA34's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like V1TA34 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for V1TA34 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about V1TA34's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in V1TA34 Stock

V1TA34 financial ratios help investors to determine whether V1TA34 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in V1TA34 with respect to the benefits of owning V1TA34 security.