Extended Market Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.15

USMIX Fund  USD 25.15  0.11  0.44%   
Extended Market's future price is the expected price of Extended Market instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Extended Market Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Extended Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Extended Market Correlation, Extended Market Hype Analysis, Extended Market Volatility, Extended Market History as well as Extended Market Performance.
  
Please specify Extended Market's target price for which you would like Extended Market odds to be computed.

Extended Market Target Price Odds to finish over 25.15

The tendency of Extended Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.15 90 days 25.15 
roughly 2.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Extended Market to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.84 (This Extended Market Index probability density function shows the probability of Extended Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Extended Market will likely underperform. Additionally Extended Market Index has an alpha of 0.0105, implying that it can generate a 0.0105 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Extended Market Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Extended Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Extended Market Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0125.0426.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6324.6625.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.2525.2726.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.2424.7725.31
Details

Extended Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Extended Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Extended Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Extended Market Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Extended Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Extended Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Extended Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Extended Market Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.69% of its net assets in stocks

Extended Market Technical Analysis

Extended Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Extended Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Extended Market Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Extended Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Extended Market Predictive Forecast Models

Extended Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many Extended Market's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Extended Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Extended Market Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about Extended Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Extended Market Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.69% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Extended Mutual Fund

Extended Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Extended Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Extended with respect to the benefits of owning Extended Market security.
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