Us Gold Corp Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.83
| USAU Stock | USD 6.13 0.20 3.16% |
USAU |
US Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 7.83
The tendency of USAU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 7.83 or more in 90 days |
| 6.13 | 90 days | 7.83 | about 6.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Gold to move over $ 7.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.21 (This US Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of USAU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US Gold Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 6.13 and $ 7.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.94 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Gold has a beta of 0.0522. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, US Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding US Gold Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally US Gold Corp has an alpha of 0.2052, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). US Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for US Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.US Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
US Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| US Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| US Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| US Gold Corp currently holds about 6.32 M in cash with (7.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.76. | |
| US Gold Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 26519 shares by George Bee of US Gold at 7.65 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
US Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USAU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential US Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 M |
US Gold Technical Analysis
US Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USAU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing USAU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
US Gold Predictive Forecast Models
US Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many US Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary US Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.