VOYA FINL INC Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 85.81
| 929089AF7 | 95.35 0.05 0.05% |
929089AF7 |
929089AF7 Target Price Odds to finish below 85.81
The tendency of 929089AF7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 85.81 or more in 90 days |
| 95.35 | 90 days | 85.81 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 929089AF7 to drop to 85.81 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This VOYA FINL INC probability density function shows the probability of 929089AF7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VOYA FINL INC price to stay between 85.81 and its current price of 95.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 929089AF7 has a beta of 0.62. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 929089AF7 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VOYA FINL INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VOYA FINL INC has an alpha of 0.0576, implying that it can generate a 0.0576 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 929089AF7 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 929089AF7
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VOYA FINL INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.929089AF7 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 929089AF7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 929089AF7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VOYA FINL INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 929089AF7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
929089AF7 Technical Analysis
929089AF7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 929089AF7 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VOYA FINL INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing 929089AF7 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
929089AF7 Predictive Forecast Models
929089AF7's time-series forecasting models is one of many 929089AF7's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 929089AF7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 929089AF7 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 929089AF7's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 929089AF7 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in 929089AF7 Bond
929089AF7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 929089AF7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 929089AF7 with respect to the benefits of owning 929089AF7 security.