UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 64.26
| 91324PDZ2 | 63.09 0.97 1.56% |
UNITEDHEALTH |
UNITEDHEALTH Target Price Odds to finish over 64.26
The tendency of UNITEDHEALTH Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 64.26 or more in 90 days |
| 63.09 | 90 days | 64.26 | about 87.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UNITEDHEALTH to move over 64.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.25 (This UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC probability density function shows the probability of UNITEDHEALTH Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC price to stay between its current price of 63.09 and 64.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC has a beta of -0.29. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding UNITEDHEALTH are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UNITEDHEALTH Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for UNITEDHEALTH
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UNITEDHEALTH Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UNITEDHEALTH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UNITEDHEALTH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UNITEDHEALTH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
UNITEDHEALTH Technical Analysis
UNITEDHEALTH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNITEDHEALTH Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNITEDHEALTH Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UNITEDHEALTH Predictive Forecast Models
UNITEDHEALTH's time-series forecasting models is one of many UNITEDHEALTH's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UNITEDHEALTH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards UNITEDHEALTH in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, UNITEDHEALTH's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from UNITEDHEALTH options trading.
Other Information on Investing in UNITEDHEALTH Bond
UNITEDHEALTH financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNITEDHEALTH Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNITEDHEALTH with respect to the benefits of owning UNITEDHEALTH security.