NSC 23 15 MAY 31 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 87.39

655844CK2   83.65  2.17  2.53%   
655844CK2's future price is the expected price of 655844CK2 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NSC 23 15 MAY 31 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 655844CK2 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 655844CK2 Correlation, 655844CK2 Hype Analysis, 655844CK2 Volatility, 655844CK2 History as well as 655844CK2 Performance.
  
Please specify 655844CK2's target price for which you would like 655844CK2 odds to be computed.

655844CK2 Target Price Odds to finish over 87.39

The tendency of 655844CK2 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  87.39  or more in 90 days
 83.65 90 days 87.39 
about 32.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 655844CK2 to move over  87.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.11 (This NSC 23 15 MAY 31 probability density function shows the probability of 655844CK2 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSC 23 15 price to stay between its current price of  83.65  and  87.39  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 655844CK2 has a beta of 0.27. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 655844CK2 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NSC 23 15 MAY 31 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NSC 23 15 MAY 31 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   655844CK2 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 655844CK2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSC 23 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.7283.5384.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.3584.1684.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 655844CK2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 655844CK2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 655844CK2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NSC 23 15.

655844CK2 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 655844CK2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 655844CK2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSC 23 15 MAY 31, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 655844CK2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

655844CK2 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 655844CK2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSC 23 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSC 23 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

655844CK2 Technical Analysis

655844CK2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 655844CK2 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSC 23 15 MAY 31. In general, you should focus on analyzing 655844CK2 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

655844CK2 Predictive Forecast Models

655844CK2's time-series forecasting models is one of many 655844CK2's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 655844CK2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NSC 23 15

Checking the ongoing alerts about 655844CK2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSC 23 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSC 23 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 655844CK2 Bond

655844CK2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 655844CK2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 655844CK2 with respect to the benefits of owning 655844CK2 security.