NSC 23 15 MAY 31 Market Value
655844CK2 | 85.40 0.12 0.14% |
Symbol | 655844CK2 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 655844CK2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 655844CK2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 655844CK2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
655844CK2 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 655844CK2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 655844CK2.
11/16/2023 |
| 01/09/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 655844CK2 on November 16, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NSC 23 15 MAY 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 655844CK2 over 420 days. 655844CK2 is related to or competes with Ainsworth Game, Boyd Gaming, Willis Lease, Avis Budget, GameStop Corp, Roblox Corp, and Playtika Holding. More
655844CK2 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 655844CK2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NSC 23 15 MAY 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 13.17 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.22) | |||
Potential Upside | 2.03 |
655844CK2 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 655844CK2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 655844CK2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 655844CK2 historical prices to predict the future 655844CK2's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.48) |
NSC 23 15 Backtested Returns
At this point, 655844CK2 is very steady. NSC 23 15 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0228, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0228% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for 655844CK2, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 655844CK2's Information Ratio of (0.06), market risk adjusted performance of (0.47), and Mean Deviation of 0.7156 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0234%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 655844CK2's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 655844CK2 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.06 |
Virtually no predictability
NSC 23 15 MAY 31 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 655844CK2 time series from 16th of November 2023 to 13th of June 2024 and 13th of June 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NSC 23 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current 655844CK2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.06 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.2 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 1.83 |
NSC 23 15 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 655844CK2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 655844CK2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 655844CK2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 655844CK2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
655844CK2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 655844CK2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 655844CK2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 655844CK2 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
655844CK2 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 655844CK2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 655844CK2 bond have on its future price. 655844CK2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 655844CK2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 655844CK2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NSC 23 15 MAY 31.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in 655844CK2 Bond
655844CK2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 655844CK2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 655844CK2 with respect to the benefits of owning 655844CK2 security.