NSC 41 15 MAY 21 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 73.13
| 655844CJ5 | 72.76 2.72 3.88% |
655844CJ5 |
655844CJ5 Target Price Odds to finish over 73.13
The tendency of 655844CJ5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 73.13 or more in 90 days |
| 72.76 | 90 days | 73.13 | about 64.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 655844CJ5 to move over 73.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 64.55 (This NSC 41 15 MAY 21 probability density function shows the probability of 655844CJ5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSC 41 15 price to stay between its current price of 72.76 and 73.13 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 655844CJ5 has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 655844CJ5 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NSC 41 15 MAY 21 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NSC 41 15 MAY 21 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 655844CJ5 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 655844CJ5
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSC 41 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.655844CJ5 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 655844CJ5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 655844CJ5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSC 41 15 MAY 21, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 655844CJ5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
655844CJ5 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 655844CJ5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSC 41 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NSC 41 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Vistra Corp. subsidiary secures favorable loan terms |
655844CJ5 Technical Analysis
655844CJ5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 655844CJ5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSC 41 15 MAY 21. In general, you should focus on analyzing 655844CJ5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
655844CJ5 Predictive Forecast Models
655844CJ5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 655844CJ5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 655844CJ5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NSC 41 15
Checking the ongoing alerts about 655844CJ5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSC 41 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NSC 41 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Vistra Corp. subsidiary secures favorable loan terms |
Other Information on Investing in 655844CJ5 Bond
655844CJ5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 655844CJ5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 655844CJ5 with respect to the benefits of owning 655844CJ5 security.