ELI LILLY AND Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 94.52
| 532457BV9 | 96.43 1.08 1.13% |
532457BV9 |
532457BV9 Target Price Odds to finish below 94.52
The tendency of 532457BV9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 94.52 or more in 90 days |
| 96.43 | 90 days | 94.52 | about 10.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 532457BV9 to drop to 94.52 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.94 (This ELI LILLY AND probability density function shows the probability of 532457BV9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ELI LILLY AND price to stay between 94.52 and its current price of 96.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 532457BV9 has a beta of 0.0798. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 532457BV9 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ELI LILLY AND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ELI LILLY AND has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 532457BV9 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 532457BV9
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ELI LILLY AND. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.532457BV9 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 532457BV9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 532457BV9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ELI LILLY AND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 532457BV9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0099 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
532457BV9 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 532457BV9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ELI LILLY AND can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ELI LILLY AND generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
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532457BV9 Technical Analysis
532457BV9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 532457BV9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ELI LILLY AND. In general, you should focus on analyzing 532457BV9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
532457BV9 Predictive Forecast Models
532457BV9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 532457BV9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 532457BV9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ELI LILLY AND
Checking the ongoing alerts about 532457BV9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ELI LILLY AND help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ELI LILLY AND generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
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Other Information on Investing in 532457BV9 Bond
532457BV9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 532457BV9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 532457BV9 with respect to the benefits of owning 532457BV9 security.