LYB INTL FIN Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 94.50
| 50247WAB3 | 94.50 2.82 2.90% |
50247WAB3 |
50247WAB3 Target Price Odds to finish over 94.50
The tendency of 50247WAB3 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 94.50 | 90 days | 94.50 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 50247WAB3 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This LYB INTL FIN probability density function shows the probability of 50247WAB3 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LYB INTL FIN has a beta of -0.056. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 50247WAB3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LYB INTL FIN is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LYB INTL FIN has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 50247WAB3 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 50247WAB3
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LYB INTL FIN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.50247WAB3 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 50247WAB3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 50247WAB3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LYB INTL FIN, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 50247WAB3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
50247WAB3 Technical Analysis
50247WAB3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 50247WAB3 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LYB INTL FIN. In general, you should focus on analyzing 50247WAB3 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
50247WAB3 Predictive Forecast Models
50247WAB3's time-series forecasting models is one of many 50247WAB3's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 50247WAB3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 50247WAB3 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 50247WAB3's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 50247WAB3 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in 50247WAB3 Bond
50247WAB3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 50247WAB3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 50247WAB3 with respect to the benefits of owning 50247WAB3 security.