INTNED 3875 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 60.44
| 456837AY9 | 76.24 7.28 10.56% |
INTNED |
INTNED Target Price Odds to finish below 60.44
The tendency of INTNED Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 60.44 or more in 90 days |
| 76.24 | 90 days | 60.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTNED to drop to 60.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This INTNED 3875 probability density function shows the probability of INTNED Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INTNED 3875 price to stay between 60.44 and its current price of 76.24 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTNED 3875 has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INTNED are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INTNED 3875 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INTNED 3875 has an alpha of 0.1739, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INTNED Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INTNED
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTNED 3875. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INTNED Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTNED is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTNED's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTNED 3875, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTNED within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
INTNED Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INTNED for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INTNED 3875 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| INTNED 3875 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| INTNED 3875 has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
INTNED Technical Analysis
INTNED's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTNED Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INTNED 3875. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTNED Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INTNED Predictive Forecast Models
INTNED's time-series forecasting models is one of many INTNED's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INTNED's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about INTNED 3875
Checking the ongoing alerts about INTNED for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INTNED 3875 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| INTNED 3875 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| INTNED 3875 has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in INTNED Bond
INTNED financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTNED Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTNED with respect to the benefits of owning INTNED security.