HIMARK 145 10 MAY 26 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 95.62

431116AD4   91.49  0.00  0.00%   
HIMARK's future price is the expected price of HIMARK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HIMARK 145 10 MAY 26 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HIMARK Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, HIMARK Correlation, HIMARK Hype Analysis, HIMARK Volatility, HIMARK History as well as HIMARK Performance.
  
Please specify HIMARK's target price for which you would like HIMARK odds to be computed.

HIMARK Target Price Odds to finish over 95.62

The tendency of HIMARK Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  95.62  or more in 90 days
 91.49 90 days 95.62 
nearly 4.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HIMARK to move over  95.62  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.4 (This HIMARK 145 10 MAY 26 probability density function shows the probability of HIMARK Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HIMARK 145 10 price to stay between its current price of  91.49  and  95.62  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HIMARK has a beta of 0.0154. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, HIMARK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HIMARK 145 10 MAY 26 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HIMARK 145 10 MAY 26 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HIMARK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HIMARK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HIMARK 145 10. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.6291.4992.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.1883.05100.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.2491.1191.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.4294.3696.30
Details

HIMARK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HIMARK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HIMARK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HIMARK 145 10 MAY 26, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HIMARK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.005
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

HIMARK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HIMARK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HIMARK 145 10 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HIMARK 145 10 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

HIMARK Technical Analysis

HIMARK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HIMARK Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HIMARK 145 10 MAY 26. In general, you should focus on analyzing HIMARK Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HIMARK Predictive Forecast Models

HIMARK's time-series forecasting models is one of many HIMARK's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HIMARK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HIMARK 145 10

Checking the ongoing alerts about HIMARK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HIMARK 145 10 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HIMARK 145 10 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in HIMARK Bond

HIMARK financial ratios help investors to determine whether HIMARK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HIMARK with respect to the benefits of owning HIMARK security.