EMBARQ P 7995 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 43.1

29078EAA3   27.50  24.15  46.76%   
EMBARQ's future price is the expected price of EMBARQ instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EMBARQ P 7995 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EMBARQ Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, EMBARQ Correlation, EMBARQ Hype Analysis, EMBARQ Volatility, EMBARQ History as well as EMBARQ Performance.
  
Please specify EMBARQ's target price for which you would like EMBARQ odds to be computed.

EMBARQ Target Price Odds to finish over 43.1

The tendency of EMBARQ Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  43.10  or more in 90 days
 27.50 90 days 43.10 
about 76.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EMBARQ to move over  43.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 76.9 (This EMBARQ P 7995 probability density function shows the probability of EMBARQ Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EMBARQ P 7995 price to stay between its current price of  27.50  and  43.10  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EMBARQ P 7995 has a beta of -1.99. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding EMBARQ P 7995 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, EMBARQ is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally EMBARQ P 7995 has an alpha of 0.0714, implying that it can generate a 0.0714 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   EMBARQ Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EMBARQ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EMBARQ P 7995. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.9527.5034.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8526.4032.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.2137.7644.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.3750.3670.35
Details

EMBARQ Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EMBARQ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EMBARQ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EMBARQ P 7995, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EMBARQ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.99
σ
Overall volatility
5.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.0005

EMBARQ Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EMBARQ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EMBARQ P 7995 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMBARQ P 7995 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EMBARQ P 7995 has high historical volatility and very poor performance

EMBARQ Technical Analysis

EMBARQ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EMBARQ Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EMBARQ P 7995. In general, you should focus on analyzing EMBARQ Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EMBARQ Predictive Forecast Models

EMBARQ's time-series forecasting models is one of many EMBARQ's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EMBARQ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EMBARQ P 7995

Checking the ongoing alerts about EMBARQ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EMBARQ P 7995 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMBARQ P 7995 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EMBARQ P 7995 has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in EMBARQ Bond

EMBARQ financial ratios help investors to determine whether EMBARQ Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EMBARQ with respect to the benefits of owning EMBARQ security.