EMBARQ P 7995 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 17.07
| 29078EAA3 | 27.50 23.00 45.54% |
EMBARQ |
EMBARQ Target Price Odds to finish below 17.07
The tendency of EMBARQ Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.07 or more in 90 days |
| 27.50 | 90 days | 17.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EMBARQ to drop to 17.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This EMBARQ P 7995 probability density function shows the probability of EMBARQ Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EMBARQ P 7995 price to stay between 17.07 and its current price of 27.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EMBARQ P 7995 has a beta of -1.62. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding EMBARQ P 7995 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, EMBARQ is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally EMBARQ P 7995 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. EMBARQ Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EMBARQ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EMBARQ P 7995. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EMBARQ Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EMBARQ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EMBARQ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EMBARQ P 7995, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EMBARQ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0072 |
EMBARQ Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EMBARQ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EMBARQ P 7995 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EMBARQ P 7995 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EMBARQ P 7995 has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
EMBARQ Technical Analysis
EMBARQ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EMBARQ Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EMBARQ P 7995. In general, you should focus on analyzing EMBARQ Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EMBARQ Predictive Forecast Models
EMBARQ's time-series forecasting models is one of many EMBARQ's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EMBARQ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EMBARQ P 7995
Checking the ongoing alerts about EMBARQ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EMBARQ P 7995 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EMBARQ P 7995 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EMBARQ P 7995 has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in EMBARQ Bond
EMBARQ financial ratios help investors to determine whether EMBARQ Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EMBARQ with respect to the benefits of owning EMBARQ security.