COACH INC 425 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 98.43
| 189754AA2 | 98.43 1.17 1.17% |
COACH |
COACH Target Price Odds to finish over 98.43
The tendency of COACH Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 98.43 | 90 days | 98.43 | about 92.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COACH to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.15 (This COACH INC 425 probability density function shows the probability of COACH Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COACH has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, COACH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COACH INC 425 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally COACH INC 425 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. COACH Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for COACH
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COACH INC 425. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.COACH Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COACH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COACH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COACH INC 425, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COACH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
COACH Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COACH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COACH INC 425 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| COACH INC 425 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
COACH Technical Analysis
COACH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COACH Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COACH INC 425. In general, you should focus on analyzing COACH Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COACH Predictive Forecast Models
COACH's time-series forecasting models is one of many COACH's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COACH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about COACH INC 425
Checking the ongoing alerts about COACH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COACH INC 425 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| COACH INC 425 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in COACH Bond
COACH financial ratios help investors to determine whether COACH Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COACH with respect to the benefits of owning COACH security.