BANNER 2907 01 JAN 42 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 73.05

06654DAG2   74.40  0.00  0.00%   
BANNER's future price is the expected price of BANNER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BANNER 2907 01 JAN 42 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BANNER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BANNER Correlation, BANNER Hype Analysis, BANNER Volatility, BANNER History as well as BANNER Performance.
For information on how to trade BANNER Bond refer to our How to Trade BANNER Bond guide.
  
Please specify BANNER's target price for which you would like BANNER odds to be computed.

BANNER Target Price Odds to finish below 73.05

The tendency of BANNER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  73.05  or more in 90 days
 74.40 90 days 73.05 
about 33.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BANNER to drop to  73.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.15 (This BANNER 2907 01 JAN 42 probability density function shows the probability of BANNER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BANNER 2907 01 price to stay between  73.05  and its current price of 74.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BANNER has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, BANNER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BANNER 2907 01 JAN 42 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BANNER 2907 01 JAN 42 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BANNER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BANNER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANNER 2907 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.9674.2275.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.3761.6381.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.7274.9876.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
70.1373.7977.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BANNER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BANNER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BANNER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BANNER 2907 01.

BANNER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BANNER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BANNER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BANNER 2907 01 JAN 42, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BANNER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

BANNER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BANNER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BANNER 2907 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BANNER 2907 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BANNER Technical Analysis

BANNER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BANNER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BANNER 2907 01 JAN 42. In general, you should focus on analyzing BANNER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BANNER Predictive Forecast Models

BANNER's time-series forecasting models is one of many BANNER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BANNER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BANNER 2907 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about BANNER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BANNER 2907 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BANNER 2907 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BANNER Bond

BANNER financial ratios help investors to determine whether BANNER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BANNER with respect to the benefits of owning BANNER security.