BAKER HUGHES A Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 80.26

05723KAF7   82.21  3.90  4.98%   
BAKER's future price is the expected price of BAKER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BAKER HUGHES A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BAKER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BAKER Correlation, BAKER Hype Analysis, BAKER Volatility, BAKER History as well as BAKER Performance.
  
Please specify BAKER's target price for which you would like BAKER odds to be computed.

BAKER Target Price Odds to finish below 80.26

The tendency of BAKER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  80.26  or more in 90 days
 82.21 90 days 80.26 
about 13.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BAKER to drop to  80.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.42 (This BAKER HUGHES A probability density function shows the probability of BAKER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BAKER HUGHES A price to stay between  80.26  and its current price of 82.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BAKER has a beta of 0.0634. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, BAKER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BAKER HUGHES A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BAKER HUGHES A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BAKER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BAKER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BAKER HUGHES A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.1282.2183.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.9996.9398.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BAKER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BAKER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BAKER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BAKER HUGHES A.

BAKER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BAKER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BAKER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BAKER HUGHES A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BAKER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

BAKER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BAKER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BAKER HUGHES A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BAKER HUGHES A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BAKER Technical Analysis

BAKER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BAKER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BAKER HUGHES A. In general, you should focus on analyzing BAKER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BAKER Predictive Forecast Models

BAKER's time-series forecasting models is one of many BAKER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BAKER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BAKER HUGHES A

Checking the ongoing alerts about BAKER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BAKER HUGHES A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BAKER HUGHES A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BAKER Bond

BAKER financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAKER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAKER with respect to the benefits of owning BAKER security.