Universal Logistics Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.18

ULH Stock  USD 47.14  1.58  3.47%   
Universal Logistics' future price is the expected price of Universal Logistics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Universal Logistics Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Universal Logistics Backtesting, Universal Logistics Valuation, Universal Logistics Correlation, Universal Logistics Hype Analysis, Universal Logistics Volatility, Universal Logistics History as well as Universal Logistics Performance.
  
As of now, Universal Logistics' Price To Sales Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Universal Logistics' current Price Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.57, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 7.53. Please specify Universal Logistics' target price for which you would like Universal Logistics odds to be computed.

Universal Logistics Target Price Odds to finish below 31.18

The tendency of Universal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 31.18  or more in 90 days
 47.14 90 days 31.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Universal Logistics to drop to $ 31.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Universal Logistics Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Universal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Universal Logistics price to stay between $ 31.18  and its current price of $47.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.37 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Universal Logistics will likely underperform. Additionally Universal Logistics Holdings has an alpha of 0.0291, implying that it can generate a 0.0291 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Universal Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Universal Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.5945.7948.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.2438.4450.12
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.8535.0038.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.271.271.27
Details

Universal Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Universal Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Universal Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Universal Logistics Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Universal Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.37
σ
Overall volatility
3.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Universal Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Universal Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Universal Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Universal Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Universal Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: One of Cincinnatis largest logistics companies sold to Universal Logistics Holding for 194M

Universal Logistics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Universal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Universal Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.3 M

Universal Logistics Technical Analysis

Universal Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Universal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Universal Logistics Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Universal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Universal Logistics Predictive Forecast Models

Universal Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Universal Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Universal Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Universal Logistics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Universal Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Universal Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Universal Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Universal Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: One of Cincinnatis largest logistics companies sold to Universal Logistics Holding for 194M
When determining whether Universal Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Universal Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Universal Logistics Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Universal Logistics Holdings Stock:
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Logistics. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
Dividend Share
0.42
Earnings Share
4.98
Revenue Per Share
67.353
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
The market value of Universal Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.