Urban Edge Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.46
| UE Stock | USD 21.48 0.09 0.42% |
Urban |
Urban Edge Target Price Odds to finish below 22.46
The tendency of Urban Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.46 after 90 days |
| 21.48 | 90 days | 22.46 | about 70.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Urban Edge to stay under $ 22.46 after 90 days from now is about 70.44 (This Urban Edge Properties probability density function shows the probability of Urban Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Urban Edge Properties price to stay between its current price of $ 21.48 and $ 22.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.37 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Urban Edge has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Urban Edge average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Urban Edge Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Urban Edge Properties has an alpha of 0.0246, implying that it can generate a 0.0246 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Urban Edge Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Urban Edge
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urban Edge Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urban Edge's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Urban Edge Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Urban Edge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Urban Edge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Urban Edge Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Urban Edge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.004 |
Urban Edge Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Urban Edge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Urban Edge Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ZBD EST LA PREMIRE ENTREPRISE RECEVOIR LAPPROBATION DE LA LICENCE MICA DE LUE |
Urban Edge Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Urban Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Urban Edge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urban Edge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 117.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 101.1 M |
Urban Edge Technical Analysis
Urban Edge's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Urban Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Urban Edge Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Urban Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Urban Edge Predictive Forecast Models
Urban Edge's time-series forecasting models is one of many Urban Edge's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Urban Edge's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Urban Edge Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Urban Edge for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Urban Edge Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ZBD EST LA PREMIRE ENTREPRISE RECEVOIR LAPPROBATION DE LA LICENCE MICA DE LUE |
Check out Urban Edge Backtesting, Urban Edge Valuation, Urban Edge Correlation, Urban Edge Hype Analysis, Urban Edge Volatility, Urban Edge History as well as Urban Edge Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Edge. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Edge listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 0.67 | Earnings Share 2.23 | Revenue Per Share 3.643 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of Urban Edge Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Edge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Edge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Edge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Edge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Edge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Edge is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Edge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.