Ageagle Aerial Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.0
| UAVS Stock | USD 3.47 0.73 17.38% |
Ageagle |
Ageagle Aerial Target Price Odds to finish over 35.0
The tendency of Ageagle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 35.00 or more in 90 days |
| 3.47 | 90 days | 35.00 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ageagle Aerial to move over $ 35.00 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ageagle Aerial Systems probability density function shows the probability of Ageagle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ageagle Aerial Systems price to stay between its current price of $ 3.47 and $ 35.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.17 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ageagle Aerial Systems has a beta of -1.7. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Ageagle Aerial Systems are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Ageagle Aerial is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Ageagle Aerial Systems has an alpha of 0.9534, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ageagle Aerial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ageagle Aerial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ageagle Aerial Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ageagle Aerial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ageagle Aerial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ageagle Aerial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ageagle Aerial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ageagle Aerial Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ageagle Aerial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Ageagle Aerial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ageagle Aerial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ageagle Aerial Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ageagle Aerial is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ageagle Aerial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ageagle Aerial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.22 M. | |
| Ageagle Aerial Systems currently holds about 5.3 M in cash with (10.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Ageagle Aerial has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from scmp.com: China rolls out worlds first military-proof 5G that can connect 10,000 robots |
Ageagle Aerial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ageagle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ageagle Aerial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ageagle Aerial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 819 K |
Ageagle Aerial Technical Analysis
Ageagle Aerial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ageagle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ageagle Aerial Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ageagle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.