Tva Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.69
| TVA-B Stock | CAD 0.86 0.04 4.44% |
TVA |
TVA Target Price Odds to finish over 11.69
The tendency of TVA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 11.69 or more in 90 days |
| 0.86 | 90 days | 11.69 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TVA to move over C$ 11.69 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TVA Group probability density function shows the probability of TVA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TVA Group price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.86 and C$ 11.69 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TVA has a beta of 0.87. This usually implies TVA Group market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TVA is expected to follow. Additionally TVA Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TVA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TVA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TVA Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TVA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TVA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TVA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TVA Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TVA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
TVA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TVA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TVA Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TVA Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TVA Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TVA Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| TVA Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TVA Group has accumulated 91.71 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 32.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TVA Group has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TVA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TVA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TVA Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TVA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TVA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 545.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.13 M. | |
| TVA Group has accumulated about 3.85 M in cash with (68.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of TVA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TVA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TVA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TVA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TVA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.00 |
TVA Technical Analysis
TVA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TVA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TVA Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing TVA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TVA Predictive Forecast Models
TVA's time-series forecasting models is one of many TVA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TVA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TVA Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about TVA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TVA Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TVA Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TVA Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| TVA Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| TVA Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TVA Group has accumulated 91.71 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 32.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TVA Group has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TVA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TVA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TVA Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TVA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TVA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 545.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.13 M. | |
| TVA Group has accumulated about 3.85 M in cash with (68.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of TVA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for TVA Stock Analysis
When running TVA's price analysis, check to measure TVA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TVA is operating at the current time. Most of TVA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TVA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TVA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TVA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.